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August 6, 2008
German Companies Planning to Pull Production Out Of China
Der Spiegel reports that one out of five German companies has ceased or is planning to cease production in China due to rising costs.
"The big story here is that globalization is for real -- and China is no longer what it was," says Ronald Haddock, a vice-president at consultant Booz Allen Hamilton...
Corporate fright at seemingly unstoppable upwardly moving human resources cost, the rapid turnover of highly trained workers, the insufficiency of energy supplies coupled with fast rising demand, the slight appreciation of the RMB and a revulsion by many consumers in the West at the prospect of seeing their local shops stocked entirely by Chinese -- all contribute to the "China no longer is what it was" phenomenon. Elsewhere on this blog, I have suggested as much, viz., a decrease in the increase of the rate of at which Chinese goods find their shores in the US. Even so, read this:
Chinese companies, too, are increasingly outsourcing production abroad, Eddy Henning, the head of corporate banking at Deutsche Bank in Beijing, told the newspaper. "Someone who just wants to produce T-shirts is more likely to go to Vietnam or Africa," he said.
As energy prices make container transport unprofitably expensive for heavy products, some furniture manufacturers in North and South Carolina in the United States have brought back production from China. But has the tide turned back to the countries that have lost their manufacturing? Not likely:
In only four years, from 2002 to 2006, the value of furniture production in China has nearly tripled in value, from just under $20 billion to just under $60 billion. As production has increased, China's furniture exports have experienced a similar boom. From 1997 to 2006, the value of furniture imported to the US from China has increased more than nine-fold, to hit $14.4 billion in 2006. The percentage of US furniture imports from China rose from 32% in 2001 to 50% in 2005. Due to a weaker currency and state regulations, Chinese manufacturers can produce finished products at much lower costs. In fact, the average wage of a Chinese furniture production worker is only four percent of the average wage of a worker in the U.S. This fact combined with China's modern, high-tech plants make them a huge threat to the stability of the industry in North Carolina.
One wonders whether the German companies profiled by Der Spiegel are smaller companies which should never have been in China in the first place. The Chinese export engine continues to hum. Visit the ruins of the American manufacturing industries throughout the US and one will see what it really means to pull production.
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